{"id":18488,"date":"2018-04-18T09:27:41","date_gmt":"2018-04-18T01:27:41","guid":{"rendered":"http:\/\/www.kuaiqikan.com\/?p=18488"},"modified":"2018-04-18T09:28:02","modified_gmt":"2018-04-18T01:28:02","slug":"lun-wen-su-di-zhong-guo-gao-wu-ran-gong-ye-hang-ye-huan-jing-fu-wai-bu-xing-ji-liang-ji-qi-ying-xiang-yin-su-fen-xi","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.kuaiqikan.com\/lun-wen-su-di-zhong-guo-gao-wu-ran-gong-ye-hang-ye-huan-jing-fu-wai-bu-xing-ji-liang-ji-qi-ying-xiang-yin-su-fen-xi\/","title":{"rendered":"\u3010\u8bba\u6587\u901f\u9012\u3011\u4e2d\u56fd\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u8ba1\u91cf\u53ca\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20\u5206\u6790"},"content":{"rendered":"

\u4e2d\u56fd\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u8ba1\u91cf\u53ca\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5218\u00a0\u00a0\u7130<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6458\u00a0\u00a0\u8981:\u00a0<\/strong>\u4ee5\u6211\u56fd\u89c4\u6a21\u4ee5\u4e0a21\u4e2a\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u4e3a\u5bf9\u8c61\u8fdb\u884c\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u5c06\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u5206\u4e3a\u663e\u6027\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u548c\u9690\u6027\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff0c\u4ee5\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u793e\u4f1a\u8d44\u6e90\u8017\u8d39\u8861\u91cf\u663e\u6027\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff0c\u4ee5\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u9020\u6210\u7684\u56fd\u6c11\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u8861\u91cf\u9690\u6027\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff1b\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u6839\u636e\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u201c\u4e09\u5e9f\u201d\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u8fd0\u7528\u56e0\u5b50\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\uff0c\u8ba1\u91cf\u5176\u5404\u5e74\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\uff1b\u7b2c\u4e09\uff0c\u8fd0\u7528\u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790\u6cd5,\u5206\u6790\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u4e0e\u663e\u6027\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u548c\u9690\u6027\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6027\uff1b\u6700\u540e\u8fd0\u7528\u5fae\u5206\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\uff0c\u8ba1\u91cf\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u603b\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u3002\u7814\u7a76\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u9690\u6027\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u9ad8\u4e8e\u663e\u6027\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u4e24\u500d\u4ee5\u4e0a\uff1b\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u8d8a\u5c0f\uff1b\u56fd\u5bb6\u73af\u5883\u7ba1\u7406\u5236\u5ea6\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u964d\u4f4e\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff1b\u800c\u4eba\u5747GDP\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u663e\u8457\u6b63\u76f8\u5173\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5173\u952e\u8bcd:\u00a0<\/strong>\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\uff1b\u00a0\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff1b\u00a0\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570<\/p>\n

\u4e2d\u56fe\u5206\u7c7b\u53f7:\u00a0<\/strong>F23\uff1bF062.2 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u6587\u732e\u6807\u8bc6\u7801:\u00a0<\/strong>A \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u6587\u7ae0\u7f16\u53f7:\u00a0<\/strong>1672-7320\uff082018\uff0901-0157-10<\/p>\n

\u57fa\u91d1\u9879\u76ee\uff1a<\/strong>\u5e7f\u4e1c\u7701\u79d1\u6280\u8ba1\u5212\u9879\u76ee\uff082015A030401085\uff09<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e00\u3001\u00a0\u5f15\u00a0\u00a0\u8a00<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\uff0c\u4e2d\u56fd\u6bcf\u5e74\u56e0\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u548c\u751f\u6001\u7834\u574f\u9020\u6210\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u7ea6\u5360\u5f53\u5e74\uff27\uff24\uff30\u76846.8\uff05\u5de6\u53f3\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a \u201c\u4e09\u5e9f\u201d\u6392\u653e\u9020\u6210\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u53ca\u5176\u7ecf\u6d4e\u635f\u5931\u5c24\u5176\u503c\u5f97\u5173\u6ce8\u3002\u7b14\u8005\u9488\u5bf9\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684 \u201c\u4e09\u5e9f\u201d\u6392\u653e\uff0c\u4ece\u5de5\u4e1a\u201c\u4e09\u5e9f\u201d\u5bf9\u793e\u4f1a\u9020\u6210\u7684\u663e\u6027\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6210\u672c\u548c\u9690\u6027\u56fd\u6c11\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u4e24\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u8ba1\u91cf\u5176\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u3002\u7b14\u8005\u7ed3\u5408\u8ba1\u91cf\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u65b9\u6cd5\u548c\u5fae\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u7684\u8fb9\u9645\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u5bf9\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u7684\u8ba1\u91cf\uff0c\u8bd5\u56fe\u4e3a\u73af\u5883\u6210\u672c\u5185\u5728\u5316\u63d0\u4f9b\u4e00\u79cd\u53ef\u884c\u7684\u5206\u6790\u601d\u8def\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7eff\u8272GDP\u6838\u7b97\u7684\u601d\u60f3\u4e0e\u65b9\u6cd5\u5bf9\u4e8e\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u7684\u8ba1\u91cf\u8d77\u4e86\u91cd\u8981\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u4f5c\u7528\u3002\u4f20\u7edfGDP\u8861\u91cf\u7684\u662f\u901a\u8fc7\u5e02\u573a\u4ea4\u6613\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u4e0e\u670d\u52a1\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u603b\u548c,\u4ee5\u4efb\u4f55\u8d27\u5e01\u4ea4\u6613\u90fd\u4f1a\u201c\u589e\u52a0\u201d\u793e\u4f1a\u798f\u5229\u4e3a\u5047\u8bbe\u524d\u63d0\u3002\u4e8b\u5b9e\u4e0a,\u6709\u4e9b\u8d27\u5e01\u6027\u4ea4\u6613\uff0c\u5982\u4ea7\u751f\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\uff0c\u5728\u5e26\u6765\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6536\u76ca\u7684\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u4f1a\u51cf\u5c11\u793e\u4f1a\u798f\u5229\u3002\u7eff\u8272GDP\u6838\u7b97\u5c31\u662f\u5bf9\u4f20\u7edfGDP\u6838\u7b97\u7684\u7ed3\u679c\u8fdb\u884c\u73af\u5883\u6210\u672c\u8c03\u6574\uff0c\u4ece\u4f20\u7edf\u7684GDP\u4e2d\u6263\u9664\u8d27\u5e01\u6027\u4ea4\u6613\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u9762\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u5f97\u5230\u201c\u7ecf\u73af\u5883\u6210\u672c\u8c03\u6574\u7684GDP\u201d,\u7b80\u79f0EDP\u3002\u5176\u8ba1\u7b97\u516c\u5f0f\u53ef\u8868\u8ff0\u4e3a\uff1aEDP=\u00a0\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u51c0\u503c\u00a0(NDP)-\u8d44\u6e90\u8017\u51cf\u4ef7\u503c-\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u8d44\u6e90\u8017\u51cf\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u6307\u7684\u662f\u6838\u7b97\u671f\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7cfb\u7edf\u6240\u6d88\u8017\u7684\u6240\u6709\u81ea\u7136\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u751f\u4ea7\u6027\u4f01\u4e1a\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u8d44\u6e90\u635f\u8017\u4ef7\u503c\u901a\u8fc7\u5e02\u573a\u4ea4\u6613\u6210\u4e3a\u4f01\u4e1a\u5185\u5728\u5316\u7684\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u8ba1\u5165\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u4ea7\u54c1\u6210\u672c\u4e4b\u4e2d\u3002\u800c\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u4ef7\u503c\uff0c\u6307\u6838\u7b97\u671f\u5185\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7cfb\u7edf\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u751f\u6001\u7834\u574f\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u635f\u5931\u5e76\u672a\u7531\u4f01\u4e1a\u627f\u62c5\uff0c\u5b83\u5b58\u5728\u4e8e\u4f01\u4e1a\u6210\u672c\u6838\u7b97\u4f53\u7cfb\u4e4b\u5916\uff0c\u7531\u5168\u793e\u4f1a\u5171\u540c\u627f\u62c5\uff0c\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u5b83\u6784\u6210\u4f01\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5185\u5bb9\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u7b14\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u9020\u6210\u7684\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u4e0e\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u540c\u6837\u6ca1\u6709\u5185\u5728\u5316\u4e3a\u4f01\u4e1a\u81ea\u8eab\u7684\u6210\u672c\u8d39\u7528\uff0c\u5b83\u66f4\u52a0\u6f5c\u5728\u548c\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5730\u5f71\u54cd\u7740\u793e\u4f1a\u516c\u4f17\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u5bff\u547d\u548c\u751f\u6d3b\u8d28\u91cf\uff0c\u5f71\u54cd\u7740\u793e\u4f1a\u798f\u5229\u3002\u56e0\u800c\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u5e94\u5305\u62ec\u4e24\u65b9\u9762\u5185\u5bb9\uff1a\u751f\u6001\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u548c\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u7684\u8ba1\u91cf\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u53d7\u5230\u7eff\u8272GDP\u6838\u7b97\u65b9\u6cd5\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u7406\u8bba\u4e0e\u5b9e\u52a1\u754c\u8f83\u4e3a\u5e7f\u6cdb\u5730\u91c7\u7528\u7ef4\u62a4\u6210\u672c\u6cd5\uff3b1\uff3d\uff0c\u4ee5\u76f4\u63a5\u652f\u4ed8\u7684\u751f\u6001\u6062\u590d\u548c\u73af\u5883\u4fdd\u62a4\u7684\u8d39\u7528\uff0c\u6838\u7b97\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u9020\u6210\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u751f\u6001\u9000\u5316\u635f\u5931\u3002\u4e16\u754c\u4f17\u591a\u56fd\u5bb6\u8fdb\u884c\u7eff\u8272GDP\u6838\u7b97\u65f6\uff0c\u91c7\u7528\u7ef4\u62a4\u6210\u672c\u6cd5\u8861\u91cf\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u6211\u56fd\u8bb8\u591a\u7701\u5e02\u6838\u7b97\u7eff\u8272GDP\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u4e5f\u666e\u904d\u4f7f\u7528\u6c61\u67d3\u6cbb\u7406\u6295\u8d44\u989d\u8861\u91cf\u751f\u6001\u6062\u590d\u548c\u4fdd\u62a4\u6210\u672c\uff3b2\uff3d\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u8fd8\u8fd0\u7528\u6570\u7406\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u76f8\u5173\u6570\u5b66\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u751f\u6001\u9000\u5316\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u5982Kwak\u7b49\u91c7\u7528\u00a0MAUT\u00a0\uff08\u591a\u5c5e\u6027\u6548\u7528\u7406\u8bba\uff09\u5bf9\u97e9\u56fd\u9996\u5c14\u5927\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u635f\u5931\u8fdb\u884c\u8ba1\u7b97\uff3b3\uff3d(P237-344)\uff1b\u91c7\u7528\u201c\u5242\u91cf\u2014\u53cd\u5e94\u6cd5\u201d\u8861\u91cf\u82f1\u683c\u5170\u548c\u5a01\u5c14\u58eb\u6c7d\u8f66\u5c3e\u6c14\u6392\u653e\u7684\u94c5\u9020\u6210\u7684\u6c61\u67d3\u635f\u5931\uff3b4\uff3d(P621-625)\uff1b\u90dd\u5409\u660e\uff0c\u674e\u7ee7\u7b49\u63a8\u5bfc\u51fa\u9002\u7528\u4e8e\u6211\u56fd\u7684\u786b\u6c89\u964d\u5bfc\u81f4\u68ee\u6797\u635f\u5931\u7684\u201c\u5242\u91cf\u2014\u54cd\u5e94\u201d\u51fd\u6570\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee5\u6e56\u5357\u7701\u4e3a\u4f8b\uff0c\u63a8\u7b97\u51faSO2\u6392\u653e\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u68ee\u6797\u635f\u5931\uff3b5\uff3d\uff1b\u6768\u5fd7\u660e\u7b49\u91c7\u7528\u635f\u4f24\u51fd\u6570\u548c\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u503c\u6cd5\uff0c\u5bf9\u5e7f\u4e1c\u3001\u5e7f\u897f\u4e24\u5730\u9178\u6c89\u964d\u7834\u574f\u6750\u6599\u9020\u6210\u7684\u635f\u5931\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u4f30\u7b97\uff3b6\uff3d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5728\u8861\u91cf\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u5bf9\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u548c\u56fd\u6c11\u751f\u6d3b\u8d28\u91cf\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u7531\u4e8e\u8fd9\u79cd\u5f71\u54cd\u5177\u6709\u9690\u853d\u6027\u548c\u65e0\u5f62\u6027\uff0c\u5b9e\u52a1\u4e2d\u901a\u5e38\u91c7\u7528\u66ff\u4ee3\u5e02\u573a\u6cd5\u8fdb\u884c\u8ba1\u91cf\u3002\u663e\u9732\u504f\u597d\u6cd5\u5c31\u662f\u4e00\u79cd\u88ab\u5e7f\u6cdb\u4f7f\u7528\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u5e02\u573a\u6cd5\uff0c\u4f7f\u7528\u8be5\u65b9\u6cd5\u65f6\uff0c\u9700\u9009\u62e9\u67d0\u79cd\u5e02\u573a\u5316\u7684\u7269\u54c1\u6216\u670d\u52a1\u4f5c\u4e3a\u66ff\u4ee3\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u5c06\u73af\u5883\u54c1\u8d28\u4e0b\u964d\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u8d1f\u9762\u6548\u5e94\u4e88\u4ee5\u8d27\u5e01\u5316\uff0c\u5177\u4f53\u5305\u62ec\u201c\u5e02\u573a\u4ef7\u683c\u6cd5\u201d\u201c\u4eab\u4e50\u5b9a\u4ef7\u6cd5\u201d\u548c\u201c\u65c5\u884c\u8d39\u7528\u6cd5\u201d\u4e09\u79cd\u4f30\u4ef7\u6280\u672f\u3002\u5982\u9648\u7855\u3001\u9648\u5a77\u4ee5\u547c\u5438\u7cfb\u7edf\u75be\u75c5\u548c\u80ba\u764c\u76f8\u5173\u6cbb\u7597\u8d39\u7528\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u5bf9\u516c\u5171\u5065\u5eb7\u9020\u6210\u7684\u635f\u5931\uff3b7\uff3d\uff1bM.A.Delucchi\u7b49\u5229\u7528\u4eab\u4e50\u4ef7\u683c\u6cd5\u8ba1\u7b97\u7f8e\u56fd\u5927\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u9020\u6210\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u635f\u5931\uff3b8\uff3d(P139-152)\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u674e\u83b9\u7b49\u91c7\u7528\u610f\u613f\u8c03\u67e5\u6cd5\u5bf9\u5317\u4eac\u5e02\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u7684\u635f\u5bb3\u6210\u672c\u8fdb\u884c\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u7814\u7a76\u8303\u56f4\u5185\u7684\u5317\u4eac\u5e02\u5c45\u6c11\u4e3a\uff15\u5e74\u5185\u964d\u4f4e\u5927\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u8d28\u6d53\u5ea6\u00a050%\u00a0\u7684\u5e73\u5747\u652f\u4ed8\u610f\u613f\u662f\u6bcf\u6237\u6bcf\u5e74143\u5143\uff3b9\uff3d\u3002\u80e1\u96c1\u7b49\u91c7\u7528\u4e86\u4eba\u529b\u8d44\u672c\u6cd5\u8ba1\u91cf\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u5bf9\u4eba\u4f53\u5065\u5eb7\u7684\u635f\u5bb3\uff3b10\uff3d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u5728\u751f\u4ea7\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\u4f1a\u6c61\u67d3\u5927\u6c14\u3001\u6c34\u4f53\u3001\u571f\u58e4\u7b49\u81ea\u7136\u8d44\u6e90\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u81ea\u7136\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u7684\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u5e76\u95f4\u63a5\u5f71\u54cd\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\uff0c\u7b14\u8005\u5bf9\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u7684\u8ba1\u91cf\uff0c\u56f4\u7ed5\u5176\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u548c\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u8fdb\u884c\u3002\u5bf9\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u7684\u6838\u7b97\uff0c\u7406\u8bba\u4e0e\u5b9e\u52a1\u754c\u8f83\u4e3a\u5e7f\u6cdb\u91c7\u7528\u7ef4\u62a4\u6210\u672c\u6cd5\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u8ba1\u91cf\u65b9\u5f0f\u5b9e\u9645\u4e0a\u6838\u7b97\u7684\u662f\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d44\u6e90\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u5373\u4e3a\u751f\u6001\u6062\u590d\u548c\u73af\u5883\u4fdd\u62a4\u652f\u4ed8\u7684\u8d39\u7528\uff3b11\uff3d\u3002\u7b14\u8005\u627f\u88ad\u8fd9\u79cd\u5bf9\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u7684\u8ba1\u91cf\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u6838\u7b97\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u5de5\u4e1a\u201c\u4e09\u5e9f\u201d\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d44\u6e90\u7684\u635f\u8017\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u662f\u53ef\u4ee5\u76f4\u63a5\u7528\u8d27\u5e01\u8ba1\u91cf\u6838\u7b97\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6027\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u672c\u6587\u5c06\u5176\u5f52\u7c7b\u4e3a\u663e\u6027\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff1b\u800c\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u9020\u6210\u7684\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u66f4\u5177\u6709\u6f5c\u5728\u6027\u548c\u9690\u853d\u6027\uff0c\u96be\u4ee5\u4f7f\u7528\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u8d27\u5e01\u624b\u6bb5\u5bf9\u5176\u8fdb\u884c\u8ba1\u91cf\uff0c\u5fc5\u987b\u9009\u62e9\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u66ff\u4ee3\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u66ff\u4ee3\u6027\u6307\u6807\u6765\u8861\u91cf\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\uff0c\u7b14\u8005\u5c06\u5176\u5f52\u7c7b\u4e3a\u9690\u6027\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u3002\u5373\u4ece\u663e\u6027\u548c\u9690\u6027\u4e24\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5171\u540c\u8ba1\u91cf\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff0c\u6700\u7ec8\u6838\u7b97\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u603b\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7b14\u8005\u9996\u5148\u4ee5\u56e0\u5b50\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\u5168\u9762\u8ba1\u91cf2002-2012\u5e74\u6211\u56fd\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u201c\u4e09\u5e9f\u201d\u6392\u653e\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u518d\u8fd0\u7528\u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\u548c\u8fb9\u9645\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u5355\u4f4d\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u663e\u6027\u548c\u9690\u6027\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff0c\u6700\u540e\u8ba1\u91cf\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a2002-2012\u5e74\u603b\u4f53\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u3002\u7b14\u8005\u5c06\u8fb9\u9645\u6210\u672c\u7406\u8bba\u4e0e\u8ba1\u91cf\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u65b9\u6cd5\u76f8\u7ed3\u5408\uff0c\u5e94\u7528\u5fae\u5206\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\uff0c\u4ece\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d44\u6e90\u8017\u8d39\u548c\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u7684\u635f\u5931\u4e24\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u8ba1\u91cf\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u63d0\u51fa\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u5efa\u8bae\u548c\u5bf9\u7b56\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u8be5\u7814\u7a76\u5177\u6709\u7406\u8bba\u610f\u4e49\u4e0e\u73b0\u5b9e\u53ef\u884c\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4e8c\u3001\u7814\u7a76\u601d\u8def\u4e0e\u8bbe\u8ba1<\/strong><\/p>\n

\uff08\u4e00\uff09\u6837\u672c\u9009\u62e9<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u53c2\u8003\u8881\u5e7f\u8fbe\u7684\u5206\u7c7b\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5c06\u7164\u70ad\u5f00\u91c7\u548c\u6d17\u9009\u4e1a\u3001\u77f3\u6cb9\u548c\u5929\u7136\u6c14\u5f00\u91c7\u4e1a\u3001\u9ed1\u8272\u91d1\u5c5e\u77ff\u91c7\u9009\u4e1a\u7b4921\u4e2a\u884c\u4e1a\u5212\u5f52\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\uff3b11\uff3d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9488\u5bf9\u4e0a\u8ff0\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\uff0c\u7edf\u8ba1\u51762002-2012\u5e74\u7684\u5de5\u4e1a\u201c\u4e09\u5e9f\u201d\uff08\u5e9f\u6c14\u3001\u5e9f\u6c34\u3001\u56fa\u5b9a\u5e9f\u5f03\u7269\uff0c\u4ee5\u4e0b\u540c\uff09\u7684\u6570\u91cf\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u5e9f\u6c14\u5305\u62ec\uff1a\u5e9f\u6c14(\u4ebf\u6807\u7acb\u65b9\u7c73)\u00a0\u3001\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u786b(\u4e07\u5428)\u00a0\u3001\u70df\u5c18(\u4e07\u5428)\u00a0\u3001\u7c89\u5c18(\u4e07\u5428)\uff1b\u5e9f\u6c34\u5305\u62ec\u5e9f\u6c34(\u4e07\u5428)\u3001\u6c5e(\u5428)\u00a0\u3001\u9549(\u5428)\u00a0\u3001\u516d\u4ef7\u94ec(\u5428)\u00a0\u3001\u94c5(\u5428)\u00a0\u3001\u7837(\u5428)\u00a0\u3001\u6325\u53d1\u915a(\u5428)\u00a0\u3001\u6c30\u5316\u7269(\u5428)\u00a0\u3001\u5316\u5b66\u9700\u6c27\u91cf(\u5428)\u00a0\u3001\u77f3\u6cb9\u7c7b(\u5428)\u00a0\u3001\u6c28\u6c2e(\u5428)\uff1b\u56fa\u4f53\u5e9f\u5f03\u7269\u4ee5\u4e07\u5428\u8ba1\u3002\u636e\u6b64\uff0c\u8ba1\u91cf\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u201c\u4e09\u5e9f\u201d\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u5355\u4f4d\u73af\u5883\u6307\u6570\u53d8\u5316\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n

\uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u6570\u636e\u6765\u6e90\u4e8e2003-2015\u5e74\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7edf\u8ba1\u5e74\u9274\u300b\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5de5\u4e1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7edf\u8ba1\u5e74\u9274\u300b\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u73af\u5883\u7edf\u8ba1\u5e74\u9274\u300b\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u536b\u751f\u4e0e\u8ba1\u5212\u751f\u80b2\u7edf\u8ba1\u5e74\u9274\u300b\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u8d38\u6613\u5916\u7ecf\u7edf\u8ba1\u5e74\u9274\u300b\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u5316\u5b66\u5de5\u4e1a\u5e74\u9274\u300b\u7b49\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u4e0a\u8ff0\u5e74\u9274\u7684\u51fa\u7248\u5177\u67092-3\u5e74\u7684\u6ede\u540e\u6027\uff0c\u6240\u4ee5\u672c\u7814\u7a76\u5e74\u5ea6\u4ec5\u4e3a2002-2012\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n

\uff08\u4e09\uff09\u00a0\u7814\u7a76\u601d\u8def\u4e0e\u65b9\u6cd5<\/strong><\/p>\n

1.\u91c7\u7528\u56e0\u5b50\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\uff0c\u8ba1\u91cf\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570<\/p>\n

\u5177\u4f53\u800c\u8a00\uff0c\u4ee5\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u5236\u9020\u4f01\u4e1a\u6392\u51fa\u7684\u5de5\u4e1a\u201c\u4e09\u5e9f\u201d\u4e3a\u8ba1\u91cf\u5bf9\u8c61\uff0c\u91c7\u7528\u56e0\u5b50\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\uff0c\u5bf9\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u4e0a\u8ff0\u6307\u6807\u8fdb\u884c\u8d4b\u6743\uff0c\u8ba1\u91cf\u51fa\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a2002-2012\u5e7411\u5e74\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u3002<\/p>\n

2.\u91c7\u7528\u591a\u5143\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\u6cd5\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u548c\u516c\u5171\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6027<\/p>\n

\u4ee5\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u4e3a\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u4ee5\u8be5\u884c\u4e1a\u9020\u6210\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d44\u6e90\u8017\u8d39\u548c\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u4e3a\u88ab\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u53d8\u5316\u4e0e\u751f\u6001\u6062\u590d\u4fdd\u62a4\u6210\u672c\u548c\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6027\uff0c\u4ece\u663e\u6027\u548c\u9690\u6027\u4e24\u65b9\u9762\uff0c\u5171\u540c\u5206\u6790\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u7684\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff0c\u5e76\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u8861\u91cf\u603b\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u3002\u76f8\u5173\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u8bbe\u7f6e\u5982\u4e0b\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u88ab\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u9009\u53d6\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u5bf9\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u8bbe\u7f6e\u3002\u5982\u524d\u6240\u8ff0\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u7684\u8861\u91cf\uff0c\u4e16\u754c\u5404\u56fd\u666e\u904d\u91c7\u7528\u7ef4\u62a4\u6210\u672c\u6cd5\uff0c\u5982\u745e\u5178\u6839\u636eSEEA\u6838\u7b97\u4f53\u7cfb\u8fdb\u884c\u7eff\u8272\u00a0GDP\u6838\u7b97\u65f6\uff0c\u5c06\u4f20\u7edfGDP\u00a0\u4e2d\u5305\u62ec\u7684\u73af\u4fdd\u6027\u652f\u51fa\u4f5c\u4e3a\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u4e88\u4ee5\u6263\u9664\uff1b\u65e5\u672c\u548c\u97e9\u56fd\u7684\u7eff\u8272\u00a0GDP\u8d26\u6237\u90fd\u5305\u62ec\u73af\u4fdd\u652f\u51fa\u8d26\u6237\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee5\u751f\u6001\u6062\u590d\u548c\u73af\u5883\u4fdd\u62a4\u8d39\u7528\u8861\u91cf\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u3002\u56e0\u6b64\uff0c\u7b14\u8005\u9009\u62e92002-2012\u5e74\u6211\u56fd\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6cbb\u7406\u8d39\u7528\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6240\u76f4\u63a5\u6d88\u8017\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d44\u6e90\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u5bf9\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u8bbe\u7f6e\u3002\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u5bf9\u56fd\u6c11\u5065\u5eb7\u548c\u516c\u5171\u798f\u5229\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u4f53\u73b0\u5bf9\u4eba\u5747\u5bff\u547d\u3001\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u3001\u56fd\u6c11\u751f\u6d3b\u8d28\u91cf\u6c34\u5e73\u7b49\u975e\u76f4\u63a5\u7ecf\u6d4e\u635f\u5931\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u8fd9\u79cd\u5f71\u54cd\u7f3a\u4e4f\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u5e02\u573a\u4f30\u4ef7\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u4e00\u822c\u9700\u8981\u5bfb\u627e\u66ff\u4ee3\u5e02\u573a\u548c\u66ff\u4ee3\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u5bf9\u5176\u8fdb\u884c\u8ba1\u91cf\u3002<\/p>\n

\u56fd\u5916\u5b66\u8005\u5bf9\u4e8e\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u5bf9\u516c\u4f17\u5065\u5eb7\u5371\u5bb3\u7684\u91cf\u5316\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u59cb\u4e8e\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u5c45\u6c11\u5065\u5eb7\u8c03\u67e5\u6570\u636e\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u3002B.Rrunekreff\u53d1\u73b0\uff0c\u751f\u6d3b\u5728\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u3001\u5de5\u4e1a\u5316\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8f83\u9ad8\u5730\u533a\u7684\u5c45\u6c11\uff0c\u60a3\u547c\u5438\u7cfb\u7edf\u75be\u75c5\u5c24\u5176\u662f\u80ba\u764c\u7684\u6982\u7387\u8981\u9ad8\u4e8e\u5bf9\u7167\u5730\u533a\uff08\u57ce\u5e02\u5316\u548c\u5de5\u4e1a\u5316\u6c34\u5e73\u4f4e\u3001\u6c61\u67d3\u5c11\u7684\u5730\u533a\uff09\u76f8\u5e94\u6982\u7387\u76840.3\u81f31.5\u500d\uff3b12\uff3d\uff1b\u636e\u4e16\u754c\u73af\u5883\u536b\u751f\u4f1a\u8bae\u8c03\u67e5\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u4e0e\u5a74\u5e7c\u513f\u65e9\u4ea7\u3001\u592d\u6298\u53ca\u80ba\u90e8\u53d1\u75c5\u7387\u90fd\u6709\u91cd\u5927\u5173\u8054\uff3b13\uff3d\uff1bN.K\u00fcnzli et al.\u5bf9\u5965\u5730\u5229\u3001\u6cd5\u56fd\u548c\u745e\u58eb\u7684\u4ea4\u901a\u6c61\u67d3\u5bf9\u516c\u4f17\u5065\u5eb7\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u5176\u7ed3\u8bba\u4e3a\u4ea4\u901a\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u9020\u6210\u6bcf\u5e74\u7ea66%\u7684\u4eba\u53e3\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\uff3b14\uff3d\uff1b\u4f55\u5e86\u6148\u3001\u5b54\u73b2\u8389\u9488\u5bf9\u5b66\u9f84\u513f\u7ae5\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u8c03\u67e5\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u5f53\u5927\u6c14\u603b\u60ac\u6d6e\u5fae\u7c92\u3001\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u786b\u548c\u6c2e\u6c27\u5316\u7269\u7b49\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u8d85\u6807\u65f6\uff0c\u513f\u7ae5\u547c\u5438\u7cfb\u7edf\u75be\u75c5\u60a3\u75c5\u7387\u660e\u663e\u9ad8\u4e8e\u65e0\u6c61\u67d3\u533a\uff3b15\uff3d\uff1b\u9648\u7855\u3001\u9648\u5a77\u9488\u5bf9\u706b\u7535\u5382\u6392\u653e\u7684\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u786b\u6c61\u67d3\u6e90\uff0c\u5bf9161\u4e2a\u6837\u672c\u5730\u533a\u7684\u7a7a\u6c14\u8d28\u91cf\u4e0e\u516c\u5171\u5065\u5eb7\u95f4\u5173\u7cfb\u8fdb\u884c\u4e86\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u5f97\u51fa\u7ed3\u8bba\u4e3a\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u786b\u4f1a\u63d0\u9ad8\u547c\u5438\u7cfb\u7edf\u75be\u75c5\u7279\u522b\u662f\u80ba\u764c\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u30022015\u5e74\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u7edf\u8ba1\u5e74\u9274\u300b\u4e2d\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd2014\u5e74\u57ce\u5e02\u5c45\u6c11\u4e3b\u8981\u75be\u75c5\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u53ca\u6b7b\u56e0\u6784\u6210\u7edf\u8ba1\u7684\u8d44\u6599\u663e\u793a\uff0c\u547c\u5438\u7cfb\u7edf\u75be\u75c5\u7684\u6b7b\u4ea1\u7387\u4e3a74.14\u4eba\/10\u4e07\u4eba\uff0c\u4f4d\u5c45\u75be\u75c5\u6b7b\u4ea1\u539f\u56e0\u7684\u7b2c\u56db\u4f4d\uff0c\u4e14\u8be5\u6392\u540d\u8fd1\u51e0\u5e74\u6765\u4e00\u76f4\u7a33\u5b9a\u3002\u53ef\u89c1\uff0c\u547c\u5438\u7cfb\u7edf\u75be\u75c5\u53ca\u80ba\u764c\u4e0e\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u5177\u6709\u6700\u76f4\u63a5\u7684\u5173\u8054\u3002\u4e3a\u6392\u9664\u5176\u4ed6\u56e0\u7d20\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u56fd\u6c11\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u7b14\u8005\u53c2\u7167\u9648\u7855\u3001\u9648\u5a77\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u9009\u62e92002-2012\u5e74\u6211\u56fd\u547c\u5438\u7cfb\u7edf\u75be\u75c5\u4f4f\u9662\u8d39\u7528\u4e0e\u80ba\u764c\u4f4f\u9662\u8d39\u7528\u4e4b\u548c\u4e3a\u66ff\u4ee3\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u8861\u91cf\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u5bf9\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u9020\u6210\u7684\u635f\u5931\u3002\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u7a0b\u5ea6\u63d0\u9ad8\uff0c\u5219\u547c\u5438\u7cfb\u7edf\u548c\u80ba\u764c\u75c5\u4eba\u7684\u4eba\u5747\u4f4f\u9662\u8d39\u7528\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u56fd\u6c11\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0b\u964d\u3002<\/p>\n

\u63a7\u5236\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u9009\u62e9\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u5f71\u54cd\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u7684\u56e0\u7d20\u8fd8\u5305\u62ec\u56fd\u5bb6\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7ed3\u6784\u72b6\u51b5\u3001\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u6c34\u5e73\u3001\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d22\u653f\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u4ee5\u53ca\u56fd\u5bb6\u73af\u5883\u4fdd\u62a4\u5236\u5ea6\u7b49\u56e0\u7d20\u3002\u5728\u6b64\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7ed3\u6784\u72b6\u51b5\u6307\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u4ea7\u503c\u5360\u56fd\u5bb6GDP\u603b\u503c\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\uff0c\u4ece\u7406\u8bba\u4e0a\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5bf9\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u4f1a\u4ea7\u751f\u76f4\u63a5\u5f71\u54cd\uff1b\u6b64\u5916\uff0cAntweiler\u7b49\uff3b16\uff3d(P877-908)\uff0c\u515a\u7389\u5a77\uff3b17\uff3d\uff0c\u5f20\u76f8\u6587\u3001\u9ec4\u5a1f\u7b49\uff3b18\uff3d\u7684\u5b9e\u8bc1\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u90fd\u8bc1\u660e\u4e00\u56fd\u7684\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u7a0b\u5ea6\u5f71\u54cd\u4e00\u56fd\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d28\u91cf\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d22\u653f\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u5f71\u54cd\u7740\u56fd\u5bb6\u5bf9\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u548c\u6276\u6301\u529b\u5ea6\uff0c\u4ece\u800c\u5f71\u54cd\u7740\u751f\u6001\u6062\u590d\u548c\u4fdd\u62a4\u8d39\u7528\u7684\u6295\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u8d44\u6e90\u3001\u73af\u5883\u4e0e\u56fd\u6c11\u5065\u5eb7\u4ea7\u751f\u5f71\u54cd\u3002\u56fd\u5bb6\u73af\u5883\u7ba1\u7406\u5236\u5ea6\uff0c\u540c\u6837\u5f71\u54cd\u7740\u4f01\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6cbb\u7406\u6295\u8d44\u7684\u529b\u5ea6\u3002\u6211\u56fd\u73af\u5883\u7ba1\u7406\u5236\u5ea6\u5305\u62ec\u73af\u5883\u4fdd\u62a4\u76ee\u6807\u8d23\u4efb\u5236\u3001\u7efc\u5408\u6574\u6cbb\u4e0e\u5b9a\u91cf\u8003\u6838\u5236\u5ea6\u3001\u6c61\u67d3\u96c6\u4e2d\u63a7\u5236\u5236\u5ea6\u3001\u9650\u671f\u6cbb\u7406\u5236\u5ea6\u3001\u201c\u4e09\u540c\u65f6\u201d\u5236\u5ea6\u7b49\u3002\u5176\u4e2d\u201c\u4e09\u540c\u65f6\u201d\u5236\u5ea6\u662f\u6211\u56fd\u73af\u5883\u4fdd\u62a4\u6cd5\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u5185\u5bb9\uff0c\u662f\u6211\u56fd\u5b9e\u65bd\u73af\u5883\u4fdd\u62a4\u7684\u57fa\u672c\u5236\u5ea6\uff0c\u5176\u5177\u4f53\u5185\u5bb9\u4e3a\u5efa\u8bbe\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u73af\u5883\u4fdd\u62a4\u63aa\u65bd\u4e0e\u4e3b\u4f53\u5de5\u7a0b\u540c\u65f6\u8bbe\u8ba1\u3001\u540c\u65f6\u65bd\u5de5\u3001\u540c\u65f6\u8fd0\u884c\u3002\u5e2d\u4fca\u6e05\u3001\u97e9\u5411\u5b87\u7b49\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u201c\u4e09\u540c\u65f6\u201d\u5236\u5ea6\u5df2\u88ab\u8bb8\u591a\u7814\u7a76\u8005\u8ba4\u4e3a\u5bf9\u4f01\u4e1a\u8282\u80fd\u51cf\u6392\u6295\u8d44\u6709\u7740\u91cd\u8981\u5f71\u54cd\uff3b19\uff3d\uff1b\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u4e00\u56fdGDP\u6c34\u5e73\u5f71\u54cd\u7740\u73af\u5883\u6cbb\u7406\u6295\u8d44\u6c34\u5e73\u548c\u56fd\u6c11\u533b\u7597\u652f\u51fa\u6c34\u5e73\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\uff0c\u7b14\u8005\u9488\u5bf9\u4e0a\u8ff0\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u9009\u53d6\u76f8\u5173\u53d8\u91cf\u4f5c\u4e3a\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u63a7\u5236\u53d8\u91cf\u3002\u76f8\u5173\u53d8\u91cf\u5b9a\u4e49\u89c1\u88681\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u88681 \u00a0\u53d8\u91cf\u5b9a\u4e49\u8868\u53d8\u91cf\u540d\u79f0\u7b26\u53f7\u8bf4\u660e\u88ab\u89e3\u91ca<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u53d8\u91cf\u540d\u79f0<\/td>\n\u7b26\u53f7<\/td>\n\u8bf4\u660e<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u88ab\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf<\/td>\n\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c<\/td>\nEInv<\/td>\n\u4ee52002-2012\u5404\u5e74\u4e2d\u6211\u56fd\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6cbb\u7406\u6295\u8d44\u989d\u8861\u91cf\u3002<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931<\/td>\nMedicFee<\/td>\n\u4ee52002-2012\u5404\u5e74\u4e2d\u6211\u56fd\u57ce\u5e02\u5c45\u6c11\u547c\u5438\u7cfb\u7edf\u75be\u75c5\u548c\u80ba\u764c\u7684\u4f4f\u9662\u6cbb\u7597\u8d39\u7528\u8861\u91cf\u3002<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u89e3\u91ca<\/p>\n

\u53d8\u91cf<\/td>\n

\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570<\/td>\nPI<\/td>\n\u91c7\u7528\u56e0\u5b50\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\uff0c\u5bf9\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u201c\u4e09\u5e9f\u201d\u6307\u6807\u8fdb\u884c\u8d4b\u6743\uff0c\u8ba1\u91cf2002-2012\u5e74\u51fa\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a2002-2012\u5e74\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u3002<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u63a7\u5236<\/p>\n

\u53d8\u91cf<\/td>\n

\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7ed3\u6784\u53d8\u91cf<\/td>\nIndcon<\/td>\n\u4ee52002-2012\u5404\u5e74\u7684\u6211\u56fd\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u4ea7\u503c\/GDP\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u8861\u3002<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u6c34\u5e73<\/td>\nInex<\/td>\n\u4ee52002-2012\u5404\u5e74\u7684\u5916\u5546\u76f4\u63a5\u6295\u8d44\u989d\/GDP\u7684\u6bd4\u91cd\u8861\u3002<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d22\u653f\u6536\u5165\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u5bf9\u6570<\/td>\n\uff2c\uff4eGFina<\/td>\n\u4ee52002-2012\u5404\u5e74\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d22\u653f\u6536\u5165\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u5bf9\u6570\u3002<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n\u56fd\u5bb6\u73af\u5883\u7ba1\u7406\u5236\u5ea6<\/td>\nEPolic<\/td>\n\u4ee52002-2012\u5404\u5e74\u4e2d\u6211\u56fd \u5b9e\u65bd\u4e86\u201c\u4e09\u540c\u65f6\u201d\u7684\u6295\u8d44\u9879\u76ee\u7684\u73af\u4fdd\u6295\u8d44\u989d\/\u793e\u4f1a\u56fa\u5b9a\u8d44\u4ea7\u6295\u8d44\u603b\u989d\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u8861\u91cf<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
<\/td>\n\u4eba\u5747GDP\u6c34\u5e73<\/td>\n\uff2c\uff4ePgdp<\/td>\n\u6211\u56fd2002-2012\u5e74\u4eba\u5747\uff27\uff24\uff30\u7684\u81ea\u7136\u5bf9\u6570\u3002<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u4f5c\u8005\u7f16\u5236\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7b14\u8005\u53c2\u8003\u8881\u5e7f\u8fbe\u7684\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u5efa\u7acb\u4e8c\u4e2a\u591a\u5143\u4e00\u6b21\u56de\u5f52\u65b9\u7a0b\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u4e0e\u751f\u6001\u6062\u590d\u4e0e\u4fdd\u62a4\u8d39\u7528\u4ee5\u53ca\u56fd\u6c11\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5177\u4f53\u5982\u5f0f\uff081\uff09\u548c\u5f0f\uff082\uff09\u6240\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5f0f(1)\u548c\u5f0f(2)\u4e2d\uff0c\u03b2i\u4e3a\u5f85\u4f30\u8ba1\u7684\u56de\u5f52\u53c2\u6570\uff0cu\u4e3a\u968f\u673a\u8bef\u5dee\u9879\u3002\u53d8\u91cf\u5b9a\u4e49\u5982\u88681\u6240\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n

3.\u8fd0\u7528\u5fae\u5206\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a2002-2012\u5e74\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027<\/p>\n

\u9996\u5148\u8fd0\u7528\u5fae\u5206\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u8ba1\u91cf2002-2012\u5e74\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u5355\u4f4d\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u53d8\u5316\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u548c\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u5e76\u5bf9\u5176\u6c42\u548c\uff0c\u8ba1\u91cf\u5355\u4f4d\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u53d8\u5316\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u5168\u90e8\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff1b\u518d\u4ee5\u6b64\u4e3a\u4f9d\u636e\uff0c\u901a\u8fc7\u8ba1\u7b97\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u5404\u5e74\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u8ba1\u91cf\u5404\u5e74\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u53ca\u5176\u603b\u548c\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u8ba1\u91cf\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e3a\uff1a<\/p>\n

\u7b2c\u4e00\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u5bf9\u62df\u5408\u51fa\u7684\u56de\u5f52\u65b9\u7a0b\u7ec4\u4e2d\u7684PI\u6c42\u4e00\u9636\u504f\u5bfc\uff0c\u6c42\u51fa\u7684\u504f\u5bfc\u503c\u65e2\u4e3a2002-2012\u5e74\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u6bcf\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e00\u5355\u4f4d\uff0c\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u4ee5\u53ca\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u3002\u76f8\u5173\u56de\u5f52\u65b9\u7a0b\u4e2dPI\u7684\u56de\u5f52\u7cfb\u6570\u03b21\uff0c\u4e3a2002-2012\u5e74\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u6bcf\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e00\u5355\u4f4d\uff0c\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u548c\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u3002\u518d\u5bf9\u4e8c\u4e2a\u56de\u5f52\u65b9\u7a0b\u4e2dPI\u7684\u7cfb\u6570\u03b2\u6c42\u548c\uff0c\u5373\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a2002-2012\u5e74\u5355\u4f4d\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6807\u53d8\u5316\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u516c\u5f0f\u4e3a\u5f0f\uff083\uff09\u6240\u793a\u3002I<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u5f0f\uff083\uff09\u4e2d\uff0cIEU\u4e3a\u5355\u4f4d\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u53d8\u5316\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff0c\uff08Elnv\uff09\u8868\u793a\u4ee5\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u4e3a\u56e0\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\uff08\u5f0f1\uff09\uff0c\uff08MedicFee\uff09\u8868\u793a\u4ee5\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u4e3a\u56e0\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\uff08\u5f0f2\uff09\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7b2c\u4e8c\uff0c\u4ece2003\u5e74\u52302012\u5e74\uff0c\u8ba1\u7b97\u5404\u5e74\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u4e0e\u4e0a\u5e74\u7684\u5dee\u989d\uff0c\u518d\u5206\u522b\u4e58\u4ee5IEU,\u7136\u540e\u6c42\u548c\uff0c\u4ee5\u6b64\u8ba1\u7b972002-2012\u5e74\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u603b\u989d\u3002\u5177\u4f53\u5982\u5f0f\uff084\uff09\u6240\u793a\uff1a<\/p>\n

(4)<\/p>\n

\u5f0f\uff084\uff09\u4e2d\uff0cIET\u4e3a2002-2012\u5e74\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u603b\u4ef7\u503c\u91cf\uff0c\u0394PIi\u4e3a2003-2012\u5404\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c\u67d0\u5e74PI\u503c\u4e0e\u524d\u4e00\u5e74\u7684PI\u503c\u4e4b\u5dee\uff0c\u5373\u6bcf\u5e74\u589e\u91cf\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\uff0ci=1-10\u3002<\/p>\n

\u00a0<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u4e09\u3001\u00a0\u5b9e\u8bc1\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u679c\u4e0e\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

\uff08\u4e00\uff09\u00a0\u4ee5\u56e0\u5b50\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\u8ba1\u91cf\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a2002-2012\u5404\u5e74\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570<\/strong><\/p>\n

1.\u8fdb\u884cKMO\u00a0\u548c\u5df4\u7279\u5229\u7279\u68c0\u9a8c\uff08\u7ed3\u679c\u5982\u88682\u6240\u793a\uff09<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u88682 \u00a0KMO\u00a0\u548cBartlett\u00a0\u7403\u5f62\u5ea6\u68c0\u9a8c<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u5e74\u4efd<\/td>\n2002<\/td>\n2003<\/td>\n2004<\/td>\n2005<\/td>\n2006<\/td>\n2007<\/td>\n2008<\/td>\n2009<\/td>\n2010<\/td>\n2011<\/td>\n2012<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
KMO \u53d6\u6837\u9002\u5207\u6027\u91cf\u6570\u3002<\/td>\n0.573<\/td>\n0.488<\/td>\n0.521<\/td>\n0.476<\/td>\n0.492<\/td>\n0.527<\/td>\n0.537<\/td>\n0.581<\/td>\n0.595<\/td>\n0.589<\/td>\n0.600<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Bartlett \u7684\u7403\u5f62\u5ea6\u68c0\u9a8c<\/td>\n\u4e0a\u6b21\u8bfb\u53d6\u7684\u5361\u65b9<\/td>\n112.302<\/td>\n90.062<\/td>\n117.644<\/td>\n117.447<\/td>\n110.896<\/td>\n109.302<\/td>\n101.490<\/td>\n111.970<\/td>\n119.882<\/td>\n116.425<\/td>\n122.027<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u81ea\u7531\u5ea6<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n21<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u663e\u8457\u6027<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n0.000<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u4f5c\u8005\u8ba1\u7b97\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

2002-2012\u5e74\u4e2d\uff0c\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u5404\u9879\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u6570\u636e\u7684KMO\u68c0\u6d4b\u503c\u603b\u4f53\u4e0a\u90fd\u5927\u4e8e0.5\uff0cBartlett\u2019s test\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u6982\u7387\u5747\u8fdc\u5c0f\u4e8e\u663e\u8457\u6027\u6c34\u5e730.05\u3002\u56e0\u800c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8fdb\u884c\u56e0\u5b50\u5206\u6790\u3002<\/p>\n

2.\u62df\u5408\u56e0\u5b50\u5f97\u5206\u8ba1\u91cf\u6a21\u578b<\/p>\n

\u5206\u522b\u5bf92002-2012\u5e74\u7684\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u201c\u4e09\u5e9f\u201d\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u56e0\u5b50\u5206\u6790\uff0c\u5206\u522b\u63d0\u53d6\u4e862\u516c\u5171\u56e0\u5b50\uff0c\u8bbe\u4e3aP1\u3001P2\u3002\u6839\u636e\u56e0\u5b50\u5206\u6790\u7684\u7d2f\u8ba1\u65b9\u5dee\u8d21\u732e\u7387,\u5f97\u51fa11\u4e2a\u7efc\u5408\u5f97\u5206\u51fd\u6570\u5f0f\uff0c\u5982\u5f0f\uff085\uff09-\uff0815\uff09\u6240\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n

F20<\/sub>03<\/sub>=(41.102\u00a0* P1<\/sub>\u00a0+30.716\u00a0* P2<\/sub>)\/\u00a071.818 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\uff086\uff09<\/p>\n

F200<\/sub>4<\/sub>=(44.173\u00a0* P1\u00a0<\/sub>+31.374* P2<\/sub>) \/\u00a075.547 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\uff087\uff09<\/p>\n

F200<\/sub>5<\/sub>=(44.058\u00a0* P1\u00a0<\/sub>+32.364* P2<\/sub>) \/76.422 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\uff088\uff09<\/p>\n

F200<\/sub>6<\/sub>=(43.374\u00a0* P1\u00a0<\/sub>+ 33.041 * P2<\/sub>) \/\u00a076.415 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\uff089\uff09<\/p>\n

F200<\/sub>7<\/sub>=(43.324\u00a0* P1<\/sub>\u00a0+33.024 * P2<\/sub>) \/\u00a076.349 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\uff0810\uff09<\/p>\n

F200<\/sub>8<\/sub>=(43.168* P1<\/sub>\u00a0+ 33.107\u00a0* P2<\/sub>) \/\u00a076.275 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\uff0811\uff09<\/p>\n

F200<\/sub>9<\/sub>=(43.747* P1<\/sub>\u00a0+35.028* P2<\/sub>) \/\u00a078.775 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\uff0812\uff09<\/p>\n

F20<\/sub>10<\/sub>=(44.321\u00a0* P1<\/sub>\u00a0+ 36.256 * P2<\/sub>) \/80.577 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\uff0813\uff09<\/p>\n

F20<\/sub>11<\/sub>=(44.094* P1\u00a0<\/sub>+32.630* P2<\/sub>) \/76.679 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\uff0814\uff09<\/p>\n

F20<\/sub>12<\/sub>=(44.406\u00a0* P1\u00a0<\/sub>+ 34.636* P2<\/sub>) \/79.042 \u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\u00a0\uff0815\uff09<\/p>\n

3.\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a2002-2012\u5404\u5e74\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u7684\u8ba1\u91cf\u7ed3\u679c<\/p>\n

\u6839\u636e\u5404\u5e74\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u56e0\u5b50\u5f97\u5206\u8ba1\u91cf\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u8ba1\u91cf\u5404\u5e74\u7684\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u7ed3\u679c\u5982\u88683\u6240\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u88683 \u00a0\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u5404\u5e74\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n
2002<\/td>\n2003<\/td>\n2004<\/td>\n2005<\/td>\n2006<\/td>\n2007<\/td>\n2008<\/td>\n2009<\/td>\n2010<\/td>\n2011<\/td>\n2012<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
-0.0064<\/td>\n0.0028<\/td>\n-0.0075<\/td>\n0.01423<\/td>\n0.0001<\/td>\n0.0001<\/td>\n-0.0010<\/td>\n0.0045<\/td>\n-0.0080<\/td>\n0.0030<\/td>\n0.0100<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u4f5c\u8005\u7edf\u8ba1\u8ba1\u7b97\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7531\u88683\u53ef\u89c1\uff0c2005\u5e74\u548c2012\u5e74\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u8f83\u5927\uff0c\u5176\u6b21\u4e3a2001\u5e74\u30012003\u5e74\uff0c\u800c2002\u5e74\u30012004\u5e74\u30012008\u5e74\u548c2010\u5e74\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u4e3a\u8d1f\u503c\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u8fd9\u51e0\u5e74\u5ea6\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u201c\u4e09\u5e9f\u201d\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u7a0b\u5ea6\u6709\u6240\u6539\u5584\u3002<\/p>\n

\uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u00a0\u63cf\u8ff0\u7edf\u8ba1\u4e0e\u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n

1.\u63cf\u8ff0\u6027\u7edf\u8ba1<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u88684 \u00a0\u63cf\u8ff0\u6027\u7edf\u8ba1\u8868<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\n\u6700\u5c0f\u503c(M)<\/td>\n\u6700\u5927\u503c(X)<\/td>\n\u5e73\u5747\u503c(E)<\/td>\n\u6807\u51c6\u8bef<\/td>\n\u6807\u51c6\u5dee<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
EInv<\/td>\n1367.200<\/td>\n8253.460<\/td>\n4220.100<\/td>\n767.075<\/td>\n2544.099<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
MedicFee<\/td>\n4619<\/td>\n7300<\/td>\n5673.54<\/td>\n284.360<\/td>\n943.116<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
PI<\/td>\n-0.0075<\/td>\n0.01423<\/td>\n0.00112<\/td>\n0.00167<\/td>\n0.00714<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Indcom<\/td>\n0.4715<\/td>\n0.06477<\/td>\n0.82287<\/td>\n0.04947<\/td>\n0.16406<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Inex<\/td>\n0.4246<\/td>\n5.0691<\/td>\n0.534283<\/td>\n0.02453<\/td>\n0.08135<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LnGFina<\/td>\n4.2765<\/td>\n5.069<\/td>\n4.678428<\/td>\n0.08240<\/td>\n0.27329<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
EPolic<\/td>\n0.0060<\/td>\n0.0124<\/td>\n0.00792<\/td>\n0.00057<\/td>\n0.00188<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LNPgdp<\/td>\n3.9780<\/td>\n4.6021<\/td>\n4.29539<\/td>\n0.06478<\/td>\n0.21482<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u8d44\u6599\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u4f5c\u8005\u7edf\u8ba1\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7531\u88684\u5404\u53d8\u91cf\u7684\u63cf\u8ff0\u6027\u7edf\u8ba1\u53ef\u89c1\uff0c\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u6700\u5927\u503c\u4e3a0.01423\uff0c\u4ea7\u751f\u4e8e2005\u5e74\uff0c\u6700\u5c0f\u503c\u4e3a-0.0075\uff0c\u4ea7\u751f\u4e8e2004\u5e74\uff0c\u5e73\u5747\u503c\u4e3a0.00112\u3002\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6cbb\u7406\u6295\u8d44\u989d\u4e2d\uff0c\u6700\u5927\u503c\u4e3a8253.46\u4ebf\u5143\uff0c\u4ea7\u751f\u4e8e2012\u5e74\uff0c\u800c\u6700\u5c0f\u503c\u4e3a1367.2\u4ebf\u5143\uff0c\u4ea7\u751f\u4e8e2002\u5e74\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5bf9\u4e0a\u8ff0\u53d8\u91cf\u8fdb\u884cPearson\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u68c0\u9a8c\uff0c\u5982\u88685\u6240\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n

\u7531\u88685\u53ef\u89c1\uff0c\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u548c\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u572810%\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0b\u663e\u8457\u6b63\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u7a0b\u5ea6\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u76f4\u63a5\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d44\u6e90\u635f\u8017\u548c\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u8d8a\u5927\uff1b\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0e\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u57285%\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0b\u8d1f\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u6539\u5584\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff1b\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d22\u653f\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0e\u4eba\u5747GDP\u6c34\u5e73\u8fd9\u4e24\u4e2a\u81ea\u53d8\u91cf\u57281%\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0a\u4e25\u91cd\u81ea\u76f8\u5173\u3002\u73af\u5883\u7ba1\u7406\u5236\u5ea6\u4e0e\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u635f\u5931\u572810%\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0b\u663e\u8457\u8d1f\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u56fd\u5bb6\u73af\u5883\u7ba1\u7406\u76f8\u5173\u5236\u5ea6\u53ef\u4ee5\u6291\u5236\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff1b\u4eba\u5747GDP\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0e\u751f\u6001\u6062\u590d\u4e0e\u4fdd\u62a4\u8d39\u7528\u4ee5\u53ca\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u5747\u663e\u8457\u6b63\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u6211\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u65b9\u5f0f\u5e26\u6765\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u635f\u5931\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u88685 \u00a0Pearson\u76f8\u5173\u6027\u5206\u6790<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
<\/td>\nEInv<\/td>\nMedicFee<\/td>\nPI<\/td>\nIndcom<\/td>\nInex<\/td>\nLnGFina<\/td>\nEpolic<\/td>\nLnPgdp<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
EInv<\/td>\n1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
MedicFee<\/td>\n0.576*<\/p>\n

(0.064)<\/td>\n

1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
PI<\/td>\n0.341*<\/p>\n

(0.085)<\/td>\n

0.447*<\/p>\n

(0.068)<\/td>\n

1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Indcom<\/td>\n0.656<\/p>\n

(0.125)<\/td>\n

0.424<\/p>\n

(0.194)<\/td>\n

0.227<\/p>\n

(0.502)<\/td>\n

1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
Inex<\/td>\n-0.423<\/p>\n

(0.195)<\/td>\n

-0.681*<\/sup>*<\/sup><\/p>\n

(0.021)<\/td>\n

-0.209<\/p>\n

(0.537)<\/td>\n

0.234<\/p>\n

(0.489)<\/td>\n

1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LnGFina<\/td>\n-0.962**<\/sup>*<\/sup><\/p>\n

(0.000)<\/td>\n

-0.616**<\/p>\n

(0.043)<\/td>\n

0.200<\/p>\n

(0.555)<\/td>\n

0.787*<\/sup>*<\/sup><\/p>\n

(0.004)<\/td>\n

-0.256<\/p>\n

(0.448)<\/td>\n

1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
EPolic<\/td>\n0.061<\/p>\n

(0.859)<\/td>\n

0.543*<\/p>\n

(0.071)<\/td>\n

0.076<\/p>\n

(0.825)<\/td>\n

0.169<\/p>\n

(0.760)<\/td>\n

0.124<\/p>\n

(0.717)<\/td>\n

0.113<\/p>\n

(0.740)<\/td>\n

1<\/td>\n<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
LnPgdp<\/td>\n0.965***<\/p>\n

\uff080.000\uff09<\/td>\n

0.616**<\/p>\n

\uff080.044\uff09<\/td>\n

-0.190<\/p>\n

\uff080.576\uff09<\/td>\n

0.788**<\/p>\n

\uff080.004\uff09<\/td>\n

-0.258<\/p>\n

\uff080.444\uff09<\/td>\n

1.000***<\/p>\n

\uff080.000\uff09<\/td>\n

0.108<\/p>\n

(0.751)<\/td>\n

1<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u6ce8\uff1a\u62ec\u53f7\u5185\u6570\u503c\u4e3aP\u503c\u3002***\u3001**\u3001*\u5206\u522b\u6307\u57281%\u30015%\u300110%\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0b\u663e\u8457\u30022.\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\u5206\u6790<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u4ee5\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u548c\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u4e3a\u88ab\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u4ee5\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u4e3a\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u4ee5\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7ed3\u6784\u6bd4\u4f8b\u3001\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u6c34\u5e73\u3001\u4eba\u5747GDP\u6c34\u5e73\u4ee5\u53ca\u56fd\u5bb6\u73af\u4fdd\u5236\u5ea6\u4e3a\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u8fdb\u884c\u591a\u5143\u7ebf\u6027\u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d22\u653f\u6536\u5165\u6c34\u5e73\u53d8\u91cf\u4e0e\u4eba\u5747GDP\u6c34\u5e73\u53d8\u91cf\u95f4\u5b58\u5728\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u81ea\u76f8\u5173\u5173\u7cfb\uff0c\u5728\u4e24\u4e2a\u56de\u5f52\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\u4e2d\uff0c\u56fd\u5bb6\u8d22\u653f\u6536\u5165\u53d8\u91cf\u5747\u88ab\u4f5c\u4e3a\u5171\u7ebf\u6027\u7edf\u8ba1\u91cf\u5254\u9664\u3002\u56de\u5f52\u7ed3\u679c\u5982\u88686\u6240\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u88686 \u00a0\u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790\u7ed3\u679c<\/strong><\/p>\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n\n
\u88ab\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf<\/td>\n<\/td>\nEInv<\/td>\nMedicFee<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n
\u5e38\u91cf<\/td>\nConstant<\/td>\n-45259.314***<\/p>\n

\uff08-5.386\uff09<\/td>\n

-18019.733<\/p>\n

\uff08-0.741\uff09<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf<\/td>\nPI<\/td>\n52709.185*<\/p>\n

\uff081.712\uff09<\/td>\n

119207.274*<\/p>\n

\uff081.792\uff09<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

\u63a7\u5236\u53d8\u91cf<\/td>\nIndcon<\/td>\n-1477.233<\/p>\n

\uff08-0.561\uff09<\/td>\n

-1876.509<\/p>\n

\uff08-0.248\uff09<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Inex<\/td>\n-3277.702**<\/p>\n

\uff08-2.133\uff09<\/td>\n

-14225.797**<\/p>\n

\uff08-2.014\uff09<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

EPolic<\/td>\n-42411.674<\/p>\n

\uff08-0.431\uff09<\/td>\n

-255457.497*<\/p>\n

\uff08-1.904\uff09<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

Pgdp<\/td>\n12289.800***<\/p>\n

\uff085.962\uff09<\/td>\n

5994.834<\/p>\n

\uff081.014\uff09<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n

R\u65b9<\/td>\n<\/td>\n0.975<\/td>\n0.601<\/td>\n<\/tr>\n<\/tbody>\n<\/table>\n

\u6ce8\uff1a\u62ec\u53f7\u5185\u6570\u503c\u4e3at\u68c0\u9a8c\u503c\u3002***\u3001**\u3001*\u5206\u522b\u6307\u57281%\u30015%\u300110%\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0b\u663e\u8457\u3002\u88686\u4e2d\u5404\u9879\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u91cf\u76f8\u5173\u8ba1\u4ef7\u5355\u4f4d\u5747\u4e3a\u4ebf\u5143\u3002\u53c2\u7167\u9648\u7855\u3001\u9648\u5a77\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u516c\u5171\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u6839\u636e\u547c\u5438\u7cfb\u7edf\u75be\u75c5\u4e0e\u80ba\u764c\u76f8\u5173\u4f4f\u9662\u6cbb\u7597\u8d39\u7528\u8ba1\u7b97\uff0c\u76f8\u5173\u6570\u636e\u6839\u636e2003-2013\u5e74\u300a\u4e2d\u56fd\u536b\u751f\u4e0e\u8ba1\u5212\u751f\u80b2\u7edf\u8ba1\u5e74\u9274\u300b\u76f8\u5173\u8d44\u6599\u7edf\u8ba1\u8ba1\u7b97\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u7531\u88686\u53ef\u89c1\uff0c\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u572810%\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0b\u663e\u8457\u6b63\u5411\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u6bcf\u589e\u52a0\u4e00\u4e2a\u5355\u4f4d\uff0c\u5e26\u676552709.185\u4ebf\u5143\u7684\u751f\u6001\u6062\u590d\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u4fdd\u62a4\u652f\u51fa\uff1b\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u4e0e\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u572810%\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0b\u663e\u8457\u6b63\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u6bcf\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e00\u5355\u4f4d\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u547c\u5438\u7cfb\u7edf\u75be\u75c5\u53ca\u80ba\u764c\u4f4f\u9662\u6cbb\u7597\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u8d39\u7528\u63d0\u9ad8119207.274\u4ebf\u5143\uff1b\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7ed3\u6784\u53d8\u91cf\u5bf9\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u672a\u89c1\u663e\u8457\uff1b\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u6c34\u5e73\u57285%\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0b\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u4ee5\u53ca\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u663e\u8457\u8d1f\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u6c34\u5e73\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u6cbb\u7406\u8d39\u7528\u548c\u76f8\u5173\u75be\u75c5\u6cbb\u7597\u8d39\u7528\u8d8a\u4f4e\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u8d8a\u5f31\u3002\u73af\u5883\u7ba1\u7406\u5236\u5ea6\u53d8\u91cf\u4e0e\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u572810%\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0b\u663e\u8457\u8d1f\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u56fd\u5bb6\u73af\u5883\u7ba1\u7406\u76f8\u5173\u5236\u5ea6\u5bf9\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u6c61\u67d3\u6392\u653e\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u5236\u7ea6\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u6539\u5584\u73af\u5883\u8d28\u91cf\uff0c\u589e\u8fdb\u793e\u4f1a\u798f\u5229\u3002\u4eba\u5747GDP\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u663e\u8457\u6b63\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u6211\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u65b9\u5f0f\u4ecd\u5c5e\u4e8e\u7c97\u653e\u578b\u589e\u957f\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u4e00\u4e2a\u5355\u4f4d\uff0c\u4f1a\u5bfc\u81f412289.8\u4ebf\u5143\u7684\u751f\u6001\u6062\u590d\u4fdd\u62a4\u8d39\u7528\u7684\u6295\u5165\u3002<\/p>\n

\uff08\u4e09\uff09\u00a0\u8fd0\u7528\u5fae\u5206\u65b9\u6cd5\uff0c\u8ba1\u91cf\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a2002-2012\u5e74\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u4ef7\u503c\u91cf<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a2002-2012\u5e74\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u6bcf\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e00\u5355\u4f4d\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u589e\u52a0\u7684\u4ef7\u503c\u91cfIE(H)\u8ba1\u91cf\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e0e\u7ed3\u679c\u5982\u5f0f\uff0816\uff09\u6240\u793a\uff1a<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\uff0816\uff09<\/p>\n

\u7531\u5f0f\uff0816\uff09\u53ef\u89c1\uff0c\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u6bcf\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e00\u5355\u4f4d\uff0c\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u4e3a52709.185\u4ebf\u5143\uff0c\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u4e3a119207.274\u4ebf\u5143\uff0c\u603b\u8ba1171916.645\u4ebf\u5143\u3002<\/p>\n

\u5c062003\u5e74\u81f32012\u5e74\u5404\u5e74\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u4e0e\u4e0a\u5e74\u76f8\u6bd4\u8f83\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u503c,\u5206\u522b\u4e58\u4ee5\u5355\u4f4d\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u53d8\u5316\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u503c171 916.645\u4ebf\u5143\uff0c\u7136\u540e\u8fdb\u884c\u52a0\u603b\uff0c\u53ef\u4ee5\u8ba1\u91cf2002-2012\u5e74\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u7684\u603b\u503c\uff0c\u5177\u4f53\u5982\u5f0f\uff0817\uff09\u6240\u793a\u3002<\/p>\n

\uff0817\uff09<\/p>\n

2002-2012\u5e74\uff0c\u6211\u56fd\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u4ea7\u751f\u7531\u4e8e\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u7a0b\u5ea6\u7684\u63d0\u9ad8\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u4ef7\u503c\u603b\u8ba1\u4e3a2 819.432\u4ebf\u5143\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u672c\u6587\u8ba1\u91cf\u7684\u5bf9\u8c61\u4ec5\u9650\u4e8e2002-2012\u5e74\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u5de5\u4e1a\u201c\u4e09\u5e9f\u201d\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\u5176\u603b\u989d\u5360\u540c\u671fGDP\u603b\u989d\u7684\u6bd4\u4f8b\u4e3a0.1%\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u56db\u3001\u00a0\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u8bba\u4e0e\u5efa\u8bae<\/strong><\/p>\n

\uff08\u4e00\uff09\u00a0\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u8bba<\/strong><\/p>\n

\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u662f\u6211\u56fd\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u6765\u6e90\uff0c\u5bf9\u6211\u56fd\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u8fdb\u884c\u8ba1\u91cf\uff0c\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u4fc3\u4f7f\u4f01\u4e1a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6210\u672c\u5185\u5728\u5316\uff0c\u5f62\u6210\u73af\u5883\u6210\u672c\u7684\u8865\u507f\u673a\u5236\uff0c\u589e\u8fdb\u793e\u4f1a\u798f\u5229\u3002\u7b14\u8005\u4ee5\u6211\u56fd\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u4e3a\u5bf9\u8c61\uff0c\u5bf9\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u89c4\u6a21\u4ee5\u4e0a\u768421\u4e2a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u5de5\u4e1a\u201c\u4e09\u5e9f\u201d\u8fdb\u884c\u7edf\u8ba1\uff0c\u8fd0\u7528\u56e0\u5b50\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\uff0c\u8ba1\u91cf\u4e86\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a2002-2012\u5e74\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\uff0c\u5e76\u4ee5\u5404\u5e74\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u4f5c\u4e3a\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u4ee5\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u663e\u6027\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u8017\u8d39\u6210\u672c\u548c\u9690\u6027\u7684\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u4f5c\u4e3a\u88ab\u89e3\u91ca\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u4ee5\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7ed3\u6784\u72b6\u51b5\u3001\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u6c34\u5e73\u3001\u4eba\u5747GDP\u548c\u73af\u5883\u7ba1\u7406\u5236\u5ea6\u53d8\u91cf\u4f5c\u4e3a\u63a7\u5236\u53d8\u91cf\uff0c\u56de\u5f52\u5206\u6790\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u4e0e\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u663e\u6027\u548c\u9690\u6027\u73af\u5883\u6210\u672c\u7684\u76f8\u5173\u6027\uff0c\u518d\u91c7\u7528\u5fae\u5206\u5206\u6790\u6cd5\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u6bcf\u4e00\u5355\u4f4d\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u663e\u6027\u548c\u9690\u6027\u73af\u5883\u6210\u672c\u7684\u53d8\u5316\uff0c\u4ee5\u6b64\u4e3a\u4f9d\u636e\uff0c\u8ba1\u91cf2002-2012\u5e74\u95f4\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u603b\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u3002\u7ed3\u8bba\u4e3a\uff1a<\/p>\n

1.2002-2012\u5e74\uff0c\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u663e\u73b0\u51fa\u4e00\u5b9a\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u53d8\u5316\u6001\u52bf\uff0c2002\u5e74\u30012004\u5e74\u30012008\u5e74\u548c2010\u5e74\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u4e3a\u8d1f\u503c\uff0c2005\u548c2012\u5e74\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u8f83\u5927\uff0c\u8fd1\u5e74\u6709\u6269\u5927\u8d8b\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n

2.2002-2012\u5e74\uff0c\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u6bcf\u63d0\u9ad8\u4e00\u5355\u4f4d\uff0c\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u4e3a171916.645\u4ebf\u5143\uff0c\u5176\u4e2d\uff0c\u663e\u6027\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u4e3a52709.185\u4ebf\u5143\uff0c\u9690\u6027\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u4e3a119207.274\u4ebf\u5143\u3002\u8bf4\u660e\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u9690\u6027\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u9ad8\u4e8e\u663e\u6027\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u60272\u500d\u4ee5\u4e0a\u3002\u5386\u53f2\u7ecf\u9a8c\u6559\u8bad\u4e5f\u8bc1\u660e\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u516c\u5171\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u8fdc\u8fdc\u5927\u4e8e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u59821930\u5e74\u6bd4\u5229\u65f6\u9a6c\u65af\u6cb3\u8c37\u70df\u96fe\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u9020\u6210\u5f53\u573040%\u4ee5\u4e0a\u4eba\u7fa4\u53d1\u751f\u547c\u5438\u9053\u75be\u75c5\u4ee5\u53ca\u5927\u91cf\u6c11\u4f17\u6b7b\u4ea1\uff0c\u6210\u4e3a\uff12\uff10\u4e16\u7eaa\u6700\u65e9\u8bb0\u5f55\u7684\u5927\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u60e8\u6848\uff1b\u4ee5\u53ca1943\u5e74\u7531\u6c7d\u8f66\u5c3e\u6c14\u53ca\u5de5\u4e1a\u5e9f\u6c14\u6392\u653e\u5f15\u8d77\u7684\u6d1b\u6749\u77f6\u70df\u96fe\u4e8b\u4ef6\u30011948\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u591a\u8bfa\u62c9\u70df\u96fe\u4e8b\u4ef6\uff0c\u4ee5\u53ca\u6211\u56fd\u76ee\u524d\u8f83\u4e3a\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u96fe\u973e\u73b0\u8c61\u3002\u56e0\u800c\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u7684\u516c\u5171\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u66f4\u5e94\u6210\u4e3a\u5173\u6ce8\u548c\u7814\u7a76\u7684\u91cd\u70b9\u3002<\/p>\n

3.\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u6c34\u5e73\u8d8a\u9ad8\uff0c\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u8d8a\u5f31\u3002\u8fd9\u4e0e\u8d44\u6e90\u7980\u8d4b\u5047\u8bf4\u76f8\u4e00\u81f4\uff3b20\uff3d(P215-247)\uff0c\u4e5f\u4e0e\u4f17\u591a\u5b66\u8005\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u7ed3\u8bba\u76f8\u543b\u5408\u3002\u5927\u90e8\u5206\u5b9e\u8bc1\u5206\u6790\u90fd\u4e0d\u652f\u6301\u6c61\u67d3\u5929\u5802\u5047\u8bf4\uff0c\u5982Antweiler W & Copeland BR\u7b49\u5efa\u7acb\u5fae\u89c2\u7406\u8bba\u6a21\u578b\uff0c\u4ee5SO2\u4e3a\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6807\uff0c\u91c7\u752844\u4e2a\u56fd\u5bb6\u3001109\u4e2a\u57ce\u5e021971\uff5e1996\u5e74\u95f4\u7684\u9762\u677f\u6570\u636e\u8fdb\u884c\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u81ea\u7531\u8d38\u6613\u6709\u52a9\u4e8e\u6539\u5584\u5904\u4e8e\u6837\u672c\u5e73\u5747\u6c34\u5e73\u7684\u56fd\u5bb6\u7684\u73af\u5883\uff1b\u515a\u7389\u5a77\u8ba4\u4e3a\uff0c\u5bf9\u5916\u8d38\u6613\u80fd\u4f7f\u4e2d\u56fd\u6709\u673a\u4f1a\u63a5\u89e6\u4e16\u754c\u6700\u5148\u8fdb\u7684\u6c61\u67d3\u7269\u5904\u7406\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u7531\u6b64\u4ea7\u751f\u7684\u6280\u672f\u6548\u5e94\u5927\u5927\u964d\u4f4e\u4e86\u6211\u56fd\u5236\u9020\u4e1a\u5404\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u4ea7\u6c61\u7cfb\u6570\u3002\u5f20\u76f8\u6587\u3001\u9ec4\u5a1f\u7b49\u5206\u6790\u4e2d\u56fd\u00a021\u4e2a\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u7684\u5bf9\u5916\u8d38\u6613\u5bf9\u00a0SO2\u6392\u653e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u8bc1\u660e\u4e2d\u56fd\u7684\u5bf9\u5916\u8d38\u6613\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u8282\u80fd\u51cf\u6392\uff1b\u800c\u5218\u6e1d\u7433\u7b49\u8bc1\u5b9e\u8fdb\u53e3\u8d38\u6613\u53ef\u6291\u5236\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\uff0c\u4f46\u51fa\u53e3\u4e0eFDI\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u4e2d\u56fd\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\uff3b21\uff3d\u3002<\/p>\n

4.\u73af\u5883\u4fdd\u62a4\u5236\u5ea6\u53d8\u91cf\u4e0e\u516c\u5171\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u8d1f\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u56fd\u5bb6\u73af\u5883\u7ba1\u7406\u76f8\u5173\u6cd5\u5f8b\u548c\u5236\u5ea6\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u4ea7\u751f\u4e86\u5236\u7ea6\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4e86\u4f01\u4e1a\u73af\u4fdd\u6295\u8d44\uff0c\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u6539\u5584\u73af\u5883\u8d28\u91cf\uff0c\u589e\u8fdb\u793e\u4f1a\u798f\u5229\u3002\u76f8\u5173\u7684\u7814\u7a76\u4e5f\u652f\u6301\u8fd9\u4e00\u7ed3\u8bba\uff0c\u5982\u5f20\u5e73\u6de1\u7b49\u91c7\u75282005-2009\u5e74\u6211\u56fd30\u4e2a\u7701\u4efd\u73af\u4fdd\u6295\u8d44\u6570\u636e\uff0c\u53d1\u73b0\u73af\u4fdd\u6295\u8d44\u5bf9SO2\u51cf\u6392\u5177\u6709\u660e\u663e\u79ef\u6781\u5f71\u54cd\uff3b22\uff3d\u3002<\/p>\n

5.\u4eba\u5747\uff27\uff24\uff30\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\u663e\u8457\u6b63\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u8bf4\u660e\u6211\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u65b9\u5f0f\u4ecd\u5c5e\u4e8e\u7c97\u653e\u578b\u589e\u957f\u65b9\u5f0f\u3002\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u5e45\u5ea6\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u5bfc\u81f4\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u8d8a\u4e25\u91cd\uff0c\u5219\u4f1a\u6d88\u8017\u66f4\u591a\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u7ecf\u6d4e\u8d44\u6e90\u7528\u4e8e\u751f\u6001\u6062\u590d\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u6cbb\u7406\u3002<\/p>\n

\uff08\u4e8c\uff09\u00a0\u5efa\u8bae<\/strong><\/p>\n

1.\u8fd1\u5e74\u6765\u884c\u4e1a\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u5448\u73b0\u51fa\u63d0\u9ad8\u8d8b\u52bf\uff0c\u4f01\u4e1a\u5e94\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5f3a\u5185\u90e8\u6280\u672f\u521b\u65b0\uff0c\u5f00\u53d1\u8282\u80fd\u73af\u4fdd\u6280\u672f\uff0c\u800c\u4e0d\u80fd\u4f9d\u9760\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u540e\u7684\u6cbb\u7406\u6027\u6295\u8d44\u8fdb\u884c\u73af\u5883\u6539\u5584\u3002\u73af\u5883\u6cbb\u7406\u6295\u8d44\u8d8a\u5927\uff0c\u76f4\u63a5\u793e\u4f1a\u8d44\u6e90\u8017\u8d39\u8d8a\u591a\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u7684\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u4f1a\u8d8a\u5927\u3002<\/p>\n

2.\u7531\u4e8e\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u7684\u9690\u6027\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u8fdc\u8fdc\u9ad8\u4e8e\u663e\u6027\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff0c\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0e\u4f01\u4e1a\u5e94\u7efc\u5408\u5236\u7ea6\u4e0e\u6cbb\u7406\u4e24\u65b9\u9762\u7684\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff0c\u5c24\u5176\u8981\u5173\u6ce8\u9690\u6027\u7684\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u3002\u4ece\u5df2\u6709\u7684\u5bf9\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u7684\u8bc4\u4f30\u7406\u8bba\u4e0e\u65b9\u6cd5\u770b\uff0c\u5927\u591a\u4fa7\u91cd\u4e8e\u5bf9\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u7684\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u7ecf\u6d4e\u635f\u5bb3\u8fdb\u884c\u8bc4\u4ef7\uff0c\u4f46\u73af\u5883\u9690\u6027\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u5bf9\u56fd\u6c11\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u548c\u751f\u6d3b\u8d28\u91cf\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u66f4\u5177\u9690\u853d\u6027\uff0c\u5e94\u5bf9\u5176\u8ba1\u91cf\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u8fdb\u884c\u6df1\u5165\u7814\u7a76\u3002\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u635f\u5931\u8865\u507f\u6807\u51c6\u6bd4\u8f83\u76f4\u63a5\uff0c\u800c\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u7684\u56fd\u6c11\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u7684\u8865\u507f\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u4e5f\u5e94\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u659f\u914c\u548c\u7814\u7a76\u3002<\/p>\n

3.\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u6c34\u5e73\u4e0e\u6211\u56fd\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u6307\u6570\u663e\u8457\u8d1f\u5411\u76f8\u5173\uff0c\u56e0\u800c\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6269\u5927\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\uff0c\u6269\u5927\u8fdb\u51fa\u53e3\u8d38\u6613\uff0c\u5c06\u6709\u5229\u4e8e\u6211\u56fd\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u8282\u80fd\u964d\u8017\uff0c\u51cf\u5c11\u6c61\u67d3\u6cbb\u7406\u6210\u672c\u3002\u7531\u4e8e\u897f\u65b9\u56fd\u5bb6\u51fa\u53e3\u4ea7\u54c1\u76f8\u5bf9\u4e8e\u6211\u56fd\u8f83\u4e3a\u6e05\u6d01\uff0c\u5176\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u672c\u56fd\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u7a0b\u5ea6\u66f4\u4f4e\uff0c\u800c\u6211\u56fd\u51fa\u53e3\u4ea7\u54c1\u6280\u672f\u76f8\u5bf9\u843d\u540e\uff0c\u80fd\u8017\u76f8\u5bf9\u5927\uff0c\u4ea7\u54c1\u751f\u4ea7\u53ca\u51fa\u53e3\u5e26\u6765\u4e86\u8f83\u4e25\u91cd\u7684\u56fd\u5185\u73af\u5883\u6210\u672c\u3002\u80e1\u98de\u4e5f\u8bc1\u5b9e\u51fa\u53e3\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u6269\u5927\u52a0\u5267\u4e86\u6211\u56fd\u4e1c\u90e8\u548c\u4e2d\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3,\u8fdb\u53e3\u89c4\u6a21\u7684\u53d8\u5316\u672a\u5bf9\u6211\u56fd\u4e1c\u90e8\u548c\u4e2d\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u7684\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u4ea7\u751f\u660e\u663e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff3b23\uff3d\u3002\u56e0\u800c\uff0c\u5728\u5bf9\u5916\u5f00\u653e\u8fc7\u7a0b\u4e2d\uff0c\u52a0\u5927\u897f\u65b9\u5148\u8fdb\u6280\u672f\u4e0e\u4ea7\u54c1\u7684\u8fdb\u53e3\uff0c\u5c06\u4f1a\u6291\u5236\u6211\u56fd\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff0c\u66f4\u4f1a\u52a0\u500d\u63d0\u9ad8\u56fd\u6c11\u7684\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u6c34\u5e73\u3002<\/p>\n

4.\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u5efa\u7acb\u5065\u5168\u56fd\u5bb6\u73af\u5883\u7ba1\u7406\u5236\u5ea6\u3002\u6211\u56fd\u73af\u5883\u6295\u8d44\u7ed3\u6784\u4e2d\uff0c\u201c\u4e09\u540c\u65f6\u201d\u73af\u5883\u6295\u8d44\u5360\u6bd4\u4f8b\u5f88\u5927\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u8bf4\u660e\u73af\u5883\u7ba1\u7406\u5236\u5ea6\u5bf9\u4f01\u4e1a\u8282\u80fd\u51cf\u6392\u8d77\u5230\u4e86\u4fc3\u8fdb\u4f5c\u7528\uff0c\u53e6\u4e00\u65b9\u9762\u4e5f\u8bf4\u660e\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u7ba1\u7406\u5236\u5ea6\u4e0e\u65b9\u6cd5\u5e94\u8be5\u66f4\u52a0\u591a\u6837\u5316\u3002\u653f\u5e9c\u53ef\u9488\u5bf9\u4e0d\u540c\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\uff0c\u5236\u5b9a\u4e0d\u540c\u7b49\u7ea7\u7684\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u63a7\u5236\u6807\u51c6\u548c\u635f\u5931\u8865\u507f\u6807\u51c6\uff0c\u53ef\u5c06\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u63a7\u5236\u6807\u51c6\u5206\u4e3a\u5b89\u5168\u6807\u51c6\u3001\u9884\u8b66\u6807\u51c6\u3001\u7ea2\u7ebf\u6807\u51c6\u7b49\u591a\u4e2a\u7b49\u7ea7\uff0c\u4f7f\u73af\u5883\u7ba1\u7406\u5236\u5ea6\u5177\u6709\u5c42\u6b21\u6027\u3002\u5f53\u884c\u4e1a\u548c\u4f01\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u8d85\u8fc7\u4e00\u5b9a\u63a7\u5236\u6807\u51c6\u540e\uff0c\u76f8\u5173\u7ba1\u7406\u90e8\u95e8\u5e94\u5f3a\u5236\u5b9e\u884c\u73af\u5883\u635f\u5931\u8865\u507f\uff0c\u5305\u62ec\u663e\u6027\u7684\u8d44\u6e90\u8017\u8d39\u635f\u5931\u548c\u9690\u6027\u7684\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\u7684\u8865\u507f\u3002<\/p>\n

5.\u653f\u5e9c\u4e0e\u4f01\u4e1a\u90fd\u5177\u6709\u76f8\u5e94\u7684\u793e\u4f1a\u8d23\u4efb\uff0c\u6539\u53d8\u6211\u56fd\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u7c97\u653e\u578b\u589e\u957f\u65b9\u5f0f\uff0c\u6539\u5584\u7ecf\u6d4e\u589e\u957f\u7684\u8d28\u91cf\uff0c\u5168\u9762\u63d0\u9ad8\u7ecf\u6d4e\u53d1\u5c55\u7684\u6c34\u5e73\u3002\u8fd9\u65e2\u662f\u964d\u4f4e\u6211\u56fd\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u7684\u6839\u672c\u6027\u4e3e\u63aa\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u4f7f\u6211\u56fd\u56fd\u6c11\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9010\u6e10\u8d70\u4e0a\u5065\u5eb7\u53d1\u5c55\u4e4b\u8def\u3002<\/p>\n

\u9274\u4e8e\u8d44\u6599\u7684\u53ef\u83b7\u5f97\u6027\u548c\u5206\u6790\u65b9\u5f0f\u7684\u5c40\u9650\u6027\uff0c\u7b14\u8005\u5bf9\u4e8e\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u7684\u8ba1\u91cf\u53ef\u80fd\u5b58\u5728\u4f4e\u4f30\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u73af\u5883\u9000\u5316\u6210\u672c\uff0c\u7b14\u8005\u91c7\u7528\u7684\u662f\u666e\u904d\u63a5\u53d7\u7684\u7ef4\u62a4\u6210\u672c\u6cd5\uff0c\u4ee5\u751f\u6001\u6062\u590d\u548c\u73af\u5883\u4fdd\u62a4\u8d39\u7528\u8fdb\u884c\u8861\u91cf\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u751f\u6001\u6062\u590d\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u4fdd\u62a4\u8d39\u7528\uff0c\u4e0d\u8db3\u4ee5\u5168\u9762\u8861\u91cf\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u957f\u8fdc\u7684\u751f\u6001\u73af\u5883\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u6bd4\u5982\u751f\u7269\u79cd\u7fa4\u7684\u51cf\u5c11\u3001\u81ea\u7136\u73af\u5883\u4e0d\u53ef\u9006\u8f6c\u7684\u635f\u5bb3\u7b49\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e9b\u635f\u5931\u5c1a\u96be\u4ee5\u627e\u5230\u5408\u9002\u7684\u65b9\u6cd5\u8fdb\u884c\u8861\u91cf\uff1b\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u5bf9\u4e8e\u516c\u4f17\u751f\u547d\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u635f\u5931\uff0c\u7b14\u8005\u4f7f\u7528\u547c\u5438\u7cfb\u7edf\u75be\u75c5\u548c\u80ba\u764c\u7684\u4f4f\u9662\u6cbb\u7597\u8d39\u7528\u8fdb\u884c\u8861\u91cf\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e5f\u662f\u76ee\u524d\u5e38\u7528\u7684\u8ba1\u91cf\u65b9\u6cd5\u3002\u4f46\u662f\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u5bf9\u4e8e\u56fd\u6c11\u5065\u5eb7\u798f\u5229\u4e0e\u751f\u6d3b\u8d28\u91cf\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u8fdc\u8fdc\u4e0d\u9650\u4e8e\u6b64\u3002\u5df2\u6709\u7814\u7a76\u8bc1\u660e\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u4e0d\u4ec5\u5f15\u53d1\u547c\u5438\u7cfb\u7edf\u75be\u75c5\uff0c\u8fd8\u4f1a\u5f15\u53d1\u591a\u79cd\u7c7b\u578b\u7684\u6076\u6027\u80bf\u7624\u548c\u5176\u4ed6\u75be\u75c5\uff0c\u751a\u81f3\u8de8\u4ee3\u9645\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u56fd\u6c11\u8eab\u4f53\u7d20\u8d28\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u4e25\u91cd\u5f71\u54cd\u56fd\u6c11\u751f\u6d3b\u7684\u5e78\u798f\u611f\u3002\u5bf9\u4e8e\u8fd9\u7c7b\u9690\u6027\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff0c\u76ee\u524d\u4e5f\u96be\u4ee5\u8fdb\u884c\u5b9a\u91cf\u5206\u6790\u3002\u4e0a\u8ff0\u5c40\u9650\u6027\u4e5f\u662f\u4f5c\u8005\u4eca\u540e\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u63a2\u8ba8\u7684\u9886\u57df\u6240\u5728\u3002<\/p>\n

 <\/p>\n

\u53c2\u8003\u6587\u732e\uff1a<\/strong><\/p>\n

\uff3b1\uff3d \u674e\u4f1f\uff0c\u52b3\u5ddd\u5947.\u7eff\u8272\u00a0GDP\u00a0\u6838\u7b97\u7684\u56fd\u9645\u5b9e\u8df5\u4e0e\u542f\u793a.\u751f\u6001\u7ecf\u6d4e,2006,(9).<\/p>\n

\uff3b2\uff3d \u848b\u5fd7\u534e\uff0c\u674e\u745e\u5a1f.\u8bba\u7eff\u8272\u00a0GDP\u6838\u7b97\u8bd5\u70b9\u4e2d\u5b58\u5728\u7684\u516d\u5927\u95ee\u9898.\u7edf\u8ba1\u4e0e\u51b3\u7b56\uff0c2010,(7).<\/p>\n

\uff3b3\uff3d\u00a0S.J.Kwak,S.H.Yoo.A Constructive Approach to Air-quality Valuation in Korea.Ecological Economics, 2001, 38(3).<\/p>\n

\uff3b4\uff3d\u00a0W.R.Dubourg.Estimating the Mortality Costs of Lead Emission in England and Wales.Energy Policy\uff0c1996,24(7).<\/p>\n

\uff3b5\uff3d \u674e\u7ee7,\u90dd\u5409\u660e\uff0c\u6bb5\u96f7\u7b49.SO2\u6392\u653e\u9020\u6210\u7684\u68ee\u6797\u635f\u5931\u8ba1\u7b97:\u4ee5\u6e56\u5357\u7701\u4e3a\u4f8b.\u73af\u5883\u79d1\u5b66\uff0c2002,23(6).<\/p>\n

\uff3b6\uff3d \u6768\u5fd7\u660e\uff0c\u738b\u6587\u5174\uff0c\u5f20\u5a49\u534e\u7b49.\u9178\u6c89\u964d\u7834\u574f\u6750\u6599\u9020\u6210\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u635f\u5931\u7684\u4f30\u7b97\u7814\u7a76.\u91cd\u5e86\u73af\u5883\u79d1\u5b66\uff0c1997,(2).<\/p>\n

\uff3b7\uff3d \u9648\u7855\uff0c\u9648\u5a77.\u7a7a\u6c14\u8d28\u91cf\u4e0e\u516c\u5171\u5065\u5eb7:\u4ee5\u706b\u7535\u5382\u4e8c\u6c27\u5316\u786b\u6392\u653e\u4e3a\u4f8b.\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\uff0c2014,(8).<\/p>\n

\uff3b8\uff3d\u00a0M.A.Delucchi.The Health and Visibility Cost of Air Pollution:A Comparison of Estimation Methods.Journal of Environmental Management,2002,64(2).<\/p>\n

\uff3b9\uff3d \u674e\u83b9\uff0c\u767d\u58a8\u7b49.\u5c45\u6c11\u4e3a\u6539\u5584\u5317\u4eac\u5e02\u5927\u6c14\u73af\u5883\u8d28\u91cf\u7684\u652f\u4ed8\u610f\u613f\u7814\u7a76.\u57ce\u5e02\u73af\u5883\u4e0e\u57ce\u5e02\u751f\u6001\uff0c2001,(5).<\/p>\n

\uff3b10\uff3d\u80e1\u96c1.\u9752\u5c9b\u5e02\u5927\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u5bf9\u4eba\u4f53\u5065\u5eb7\u7ecf\u6d4e\u635f\u5931\u8bc4\u4f30.\u4e2d\u56fd\u516c\u5171\u536b\u751f,2003,(8).<\/p>\n

\uff3b11\uff3d \u8881\u5e7f\u8fbe.\u6211\u56fd\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u751f\u6001\u73af\u5883\u6210\u672c\u8865\u507f\u6807\u51c6\u8bbe\u8ba1\u2014\u2014\u57fa\u4e8e\u73af\u5883\u635f\u5bb3\u6210\u672c\u7684\u8ba1\u91cf\u65b9\u6cd5\u4e0e\u4f1a\u8ba1\u5904\u7406.\u4f1a\u8ba1\u7814\u7a76\uff0c2014,(8).<\/p>\n

\uff3b12\uff3dB.Rrunekreef\uff0cS.T.Holgate.Air Pollution and Health.The lancet,2002,36.<\/p>\n

\uff3b13\uff3d\u4e2d\u56fd\u73af\u4fdd\u90e8.\u65b0\u5e38\u6001\u4e0b\u73af\u5883\u4fdd\u62a4\u5bf9\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u5206\u6790\u62a5\u544a.2015.<\/p>\n

\uff3b14\uff3dN.K\u00fcnzli,S.Medina.Public-health Impact of Outdoor and Traffic-related Air Pollution:A European Assessment.The Lancet,2000,356.<\/p>\n

\uff3b15\uff3d\u4f55\u5e86\u6148\uff0c\u5b54\u73b2\u8389.\u7a7a\u6c14\u6c61\u67d3\u5bf9\u5b66\u9f84\u513f\u7ae5\u547c\u5438\u7cfb\u7edf\u5f71\u54cd\u7684\u7814\u7a76.\u62a4\u7406\u5b66\u6742\u5fd7\uff0c2003,(5).<\/p>\n

\uff3b16\uff3dW.Antweiler,B.R.Copeland,M.S.Taylor.Is Free Trade Good for the Environment?American Economic Review,2001,91(4).<\/p>\n

\uff3b17\uff3d\u515a\u7389\u5a77.\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u5916\u8d38\u6613\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u2014\u2014\u57fa\u4e8e\u591a\u8fb9\u53ca\u53cc\u8fb9\u8d38\u6613\u7684\u6c61\u67d3\u542b\u91cf\u5206\u6790.\u5357\u5f00\u5927\u5b66\u535a\u58eb\u5b66\u4f4d\u8bba\u6587,2010.<\/p>\n

\uff3b18\uff3d\u5f20\u76f8\u6587,\u9ec4\u5a1f\uff0c\u674e\u5a77\u7b49.\u4ea7\u54c1\u5185\u5206\u5de5\u4e0b\u4e2d\u56fd\u5bf9\u5916\u8d38\u6613\u5bf9\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u2014\u2014\u57fa\u4e8e\u6295\u5165\u4ea7\u51fa\u6a21\u578b\u7684\u5206\u6790.\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7814\u7a76\uff0c2012,(4).<\/p>\n

\uff3b19\uff3d\u5e2d\u4fca\u6e05\uff0c\u97e9\u76f8\u5b87\uff0c\u656c\u7ea2\u7b49.\u8bba\u5efa\u8bbe\u9879\u76ee\u201c\u4e09\u540c\u65f6\u201d\u9a8c\u6536\u76d1\u6d4b\u7684\u6027\u8d28\u4e0e\u4f5c\u7528.\u4e2d\u56fd\u73af\u5883\u76d1\u6d4b,2003,(10).<\/p>\n

\uff3b20\uff3dM.Mani,D.Wheeler. In search of pollution havens? Dirty industry in the world economy,1960 to 1995.Journal of Environment & Development,1998,7(3).<\/p>\n

\uff3b21\uff3d\u5218\u6e1d\u7433\uff0c\u6e29\u6000\u7389.\u5916\u5546\u76f4\u63a5\u6295\u8d44\u3001\u5bf9\u5916\u8d38\u6613\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u7684\u5b9e\u8bc1\u7814\u7a76.\u5f53\u4ee3\u7ecf\u6d4e\u79d1\u5b66\uff0c2008,30\uff082\uff09.<\/p>\n

\uff3b22\uff3d\u5f20\u5e73\u6de1\uff0c\u6731\u677e\uff0c\u6731\u8273\u6625\u7b49\uff0e\u73af\u4fdd\u6295\u8d44\u5bf9\u4e2d\u56fd\u51cf\u6392\u7684\u5f71\u54cd\u2014\u2014\u57fa\u4e8e\u00a0LMDI\u00a0\u7684\u5206\u89e3\u7ed3\u679c\uff0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7406\u8bba\u4e0e\u7ecf\u6d4e\u7ba1\u7406\uff0c2012,(7).<\/p>\n

\uff3b23\uff3d\u80e1\u98de.\u4ea7\u4e1a\u7ed3\u6784\u5347\u7ea7\u3001\u5bf9\u5916\u8d38\u6613\u4e0e\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u7684\u5173\u7cfb\u7814\u7a76\u2014\u2014\u4ee5\u6211\u56fd\u4e1c\u90e8\u548c\u4e2d\u90e8\u5730\u533a\u4e3a\u4f8b.\u7ecf\u6d4e\u95ee\u9898\u63a2\u7d22\uff0c2011,(7).<\/p>\n

\u6765\u6e90\uff1a\u300a\u6b66\u6c49\u5927\u5b66\u5b66\u62a5\uff08\u54f2\u5b66\u793e\u4f1a\u79d1\u5b66\u7248<\/strong>\uff09\u300b2018\u5e74\u7b2c1\u671f<\/strong><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

\u4e2d\u56fd\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u8ba1\u91cf\u53ca\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20\u5206\u6790   \u5218\u00a0\u00a0\u7130   \u6458\u00a0\u00a0\u8981:\u00a0\u4ee5\u6211\u56fd\u89c4\u6a21\u4ee5\u4e0a21\u4e2a\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u4e3a\u5bf9\u8c61\u8fdb\u884c\u7814\u7a76\uff0c\u9996\u5148\uff0c\u5c06\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u5206\u4e3a\u663e\u6027\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u548c\u9690\u6027\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\uff0c\u4ee5\u73af\u5883\u6c61\u67d3\u5e26\u6765\u7684 … <\/p>\n

\u7ee7\u7eed\u9605\u8bfb\u201c\u3010\u8bba\u6587\u901f\u9012\u3011\u4e2d\u56fd\u9ad8\u6c61\u67d3\u5de5\u4e1a\u884c\u4e1a\u73af\u5883\u8d1f\u5916\u90e8\u6027\u8ba1\u91cf\u53ca\u5176\u5f71\u54cd\u56e0\u7d20\u5206\u6790\u201d<\/span><\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":18489,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":[],"categories":[9],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kuaiqikan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18488"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kuaiqikan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kuaiqikan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kuaiqikan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kuaiqikan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=18488"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.kuaiqikan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18488\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":18490,"href":"https:\/\/www.kuaiqikan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/18488\/revisions\/18490"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kuaiqikan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/18489"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.kuaiqikan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=18488"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kuaiqikan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=18488"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.kuaiqikan.com\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=18488"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}